It's been my experience that the National Weather Service is typically the most reliable with forecasts. They just updated things for the worse. As of this posting they officially list Monday's high as 76, up about 10 degrees from earlier, but there was also this dire possibility in their detailed forecast discussion:
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY HERE THOUGH THE
MODELS HAVE COME INTO MORE OF AN AGREEMENT ON THIS TIMEFRAME. AS
STATED ABOVE...BOTH MODELS BRING THE COLD FRONT ONLY AS FAR SOUTH AS
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS KEEPS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THE WARM
SIDE OF THE FRONT WITH THE WARMING TREND SEEN OVER THE WEEKEND
CONTINUING. THE LATEST ECMWF RUN INDICATES TEMPERATURES COULD BE
WELL INTO THE UPPER 80S MONDAY...WHICH WOULD SET RECORDS AT BOSTON
/84 IN 2003/ AND WORCESTER /84 IN 2002/. IT WOULD NEAR OR PERHAPS
TIE RECORDS IN PROVIDENCE /88 IN 2003/ AND HARTFORD /90 IN 2002/.
TUESDAYS TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE VERY CLOSE TO MONDAYS...THOUGH THERE
IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR A FEW SHOWERS TUESDAY. WILL BE KEEPING A
CLOSE EYE ON THIS FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
Well into the upper 80s possible? I know I grew up in Florida and all, but that's %&#$ing hot and to say it wouldn't affect me significantly is flat out bull. No point in putting sugar on a turd, it'll still taste like crap.
I'm considering using Boston as a fun run if it does indeed get that hot and maybe taking my faster legs to Sugarloaf and let loose there. I worked really hard to try and get a sub-3 and don't want to waste it.
6 comments:
Sugarloaf sounds like a solid plan if the need arises. Here is to hoping that cold front slips further south on Monday. Good luck, Jamie - Stu
I'll keep my fingers crossed for a cold front, Jamie! But if not, I think your plan is sound. Sugarloaf should be a good place to run a great sub-3 if you need a back-up to Boston.
Dude, keep up the positivity. Nothing's happened yet. You'll only get yourself worked up and exacerbate things. You HAVE put a lot of work in to this and you WILL do great. The weather will only HELP you, and you will have the advantage.
Jamie the time to set out your race plan for Boston is at the start line on Monday. Hopefully the weather will come good. Either way you can only concentrate on what you can control. You're in great shape and ready to run the best race of your life. Wishing you all the best, Grellan.
IO presume that's just the taper madness talking.
Enough of the negativity. Don't talk yourself out of the race before you're even at the start line!
Best of luck. I've only run in heat there once and it was my worst time by far. My course PR was set on a cool, cloudy day. I know you're in great shape and I hope you have a great run.
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